Archive for the ‘Picks’ Category

SBV Excelsior – Volendam (19.04.2013)

Posted by Fabien On April - 19 - 2013

SBV Excelsior – Volendam
Holland Jupiler League
19.04.2013 at 20:00

Three matches remaining before the end of the season in Jupiter League.
Volendam is the best team in the league : they are about to end at the top of the league with the best attack (64 goals), mean of 3.8 goals per game and 17 wins in 27 games.
They easily won their last game versus the number 3 in the league by 3 goals difference taking a good advantage on the promotion.
Today they have only 2 points more than the second of the league so the win is a must against Excelsior. Then they know they will have to be focus until the end. That is what they did against Eindhoven which is also a team from the bottom: they managed to win easily 0-2 even if they played a slow football during the first half. I expect the same kind of game today with a home team which will have nothing to play for and will create more space on the field.
The team has one suspension for this game: a key defender H. Schilder who played all game this season.

Today they face Excelsior that will probably finish at the same place they are today : at the 15th position, only 3 points more than FC Eindhoven.
For this game, Excelsior will miss:
– Rick Kruijs (key player who get injured in the game against FC Den Bosch. After this game, Excelsior conceded 6 goals in two games: 4-2 defeat versus Fortuna Excelsior 7th in the league with one of the worst attack of the league, and 2-0 defeat against FC Oss who scored 28 goals less than Volendam).
– Matthew Steenvoorden (cautioned and most important defender of the club, injured in last game),
– Richard Stolte (injured and 13 appearances this season),
– Erwin Nuytinck, Daan Smith and Dennis den Haan (young and inexperimented).

Excelsior had many problems in defense during last games while the key defender Matthew S. was playing..
Today they will play one of their last game in the league this season and they will have nothing to show that good football and enjoy playing the best team of the league in front of their fans.

I expect a lot of goals tonight in an open game with probably both teams scoring but I expect Volendam to score more than 3 goals.

SBV Excelsior – Volendam
Volendam -1 @1.90 on Bet365
Over 3.25 @1.85 on Bet365
Over 3.5 @2.13 on Bet365

1-3 FT

Highlights of the game :

Afghanistan – Bhutan (07.12.11)

Posted by Fabien On December - 7 - 2011

Soccer – SAFF Championship
Afghanistan – Bhutan
07.12.11 at 10:30

The last game for this group in the SAFF Championship. Afghanistan will fight for the first place.
During their first game they drew with India (1-1) and they created some very good opportunities to take the lead and they won easily against Sri Lanka 3-1 !

It is the third game in a few days for Bhutan and players are getting more and more tired.. For their first game against Sri Lanka the score was only 3-0 but it should have been something like 5-0 easily.. For the second game they have been beaten by India 5-0 with 3 goals disallowed for India..

Knowing that we saw since a few days that Afghanistan is one favorite for this group and they have a strong squad with a good attack line, we could expect at least 4 goals here, like in the other games..

Bet :

Afghanistan -3 @1.975 on Bet365

Result : Afghanistan – Bhutan : 8-1 FT

Highlights :

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Sri Lanka – Bhutan (03.12.11)

Posted by Fabien On December - 7 - 2011

Soccer – SAFF Championship
Sri Lanka – Bhutan
03.12.11 at 13:00

Today, Sri Lanka faces the weakest team of the group : Bhutan. In the past, Bhutan got so many bad results. In 2009 during the AFC Championship they have been defeated 3 times against Philippines (1-0), Turkmanistan (7-0) and Maldives (5-0) which are not powerful teams. In December 2009, they have performed very bad during the SAFF Championship loosing 3 times, scoring only one goal and conceding 17 goals (4-1 against Bangladesh, 6-0 Sri Lanka, 7-0 Pakistan).
In 2011, their friendly games against Nepal may let us think that they became a better team. They lost 1-0 and 2-1 two days later.. So we could think that Bhutan is became a strong team now.. But then they faced Afghanistan for an official game (AFC CC) and they lost 0-3 and 2-0, two games that Afghanistan won very easily and during which Bhutan never looked dangerous. Afghanistan should clearly have scored several goals more.. This game and the report I have read about it tell us that Bhutan skills didn’t improved and they still are the same weakest team that they have been until now..
Bhutan scored only one time in their 8 last official games.. Last time they scored it was a penalty just before the half time.. The fact that they lost only by one goal against Nepal can be explained by the fact that the squad of Nepal should have been not concerned and motivated by this game without any interest for them.

Sri Lanka is not the strongest team of the group, maybe the second weakest team even. But taking a look to their result, we can see that they have a good defence and managed to score several goals evey game against weakest opponents.

Today we can expect Sri Lanka win this one very easily by at least 3 goals difference without conceding.
However I prefer that you wait until the handicap for Sri Lanka becames “Sri Lanka -2”.

Bets:

Sri Lanka Clean Sheet @1.72
Sri Lanka -2 @1.925 [Live 8th min : 0-0]

Result : Sri Lanka – Bhutan : 3-0 FT

Highlights :

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Sri Lanka – Afghanistan (05.12.11)

Posted by Fabien On December - 4 - 2011

Soccer – SAFF Championship
Sri Lanka – Afghanistan
05.11.11 at 10:30

In their first match Sri Lanka won 3-0 against Bhutan and they failed to score many attempts which were very easily.. Sri Lanka is for me the second weakest team of the group. Their attack line is very bad and any of their player doesn’t have any good physical skills.

Their opponent made a very good game against India that is the strongest opponent of the group. They looked organized and got many attempts to win the game. Afghanistan is definitely a favorite to finish at the top of the group.

I hope that the bookies will see Sri Lanka as favorite to win this game. So if it is the case, I will go for these bets : DNB Afghanistan if odds is around @1.8.

Bets :

NO BET.

Comment : The bookie think that Afghanistan is favorite to win this game as well.. So I didn’t offer any bet. The best choice would have been to take the DNB I thought about when the score was 0-1 for Sri Lanka ;)

Result : Sri Lanka – Afghanistan : 1-3 FT

Highlights :

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India – Bhutan (05.12.11)

Posted by Fabien On December - 4 - 2011

Soccer – SAFF Championship
India – Bhutan
05.11.11 at 13:30

Not a lot to be written about this game. All have been said during my first analysis for the game Sri Lanka – India.
The face is that toda Bhutan is facing a strongest team than Sri Lanka.
Bhutan lost only 3-0 against Sri Lanka but SL could have won this game by 3 more goals easily.. They were so much better and got so many attempts on goal that were so easy but they failed to score.. During this game we had confirmation that Bhutan is the same weakest team we have know some years ago. The score should be more like 7-0 than only 3-0.

India made a draw for their first game against Afghanistan. This has been a very balanced game even if India got the chance to get the lead several times.. For their second game they have no other choice than to win. Moreover they played at home because this SAFF Championship is played in India. They are also favorite to win this competion : since 1993 they reached 7 times the final and the other time they finished 3rd. So they will need a significant victory against such a poor opponent in front of their fans.
India is much better than Sri Lanka so we can expect at least 5-0 in this game.

Bets :
India To Win To Nil @1.50
India To Win Both Halves @1.72
India Over 2,5 @1.61
India Over 3,5 @2.62

India Over 5,5 @10

Result : India – Bhutan : 5-0 FT

Comment : Many regrets in this game : a lot of attempt on goal for India and 3… yes THREE goals disallowed for India..

Highlights :

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